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Red20
7519.0
207312.1
318913.5
Blue68
325030.3
385933.2
348210.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221000501502002502068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3189
#11
13.50.9
10.89.9
Auto0.5
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 19.7
33.21.2
36.935.7
Auto-1.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Second
2073
#14
12.10.8
15.614.8
Auto1.8
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 18.2
30.31.2
40.839.7
Auto1.2
Teleop29.2
End0.0
Third
751
#15
9.00.8
9.38.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 1.2
3482
#16
10.21.2
13.612.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0