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Red54
208540.8
385933.2
58088.1
Blue46
325030.3
9250-7.9
167166.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781090501502002505446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.81.6
52.550.9
Auto0.1
Teleop40.7
End0.0
blue by 25.6
66.43.1
67.364.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop66.9
End0.0
Second
33.21.6
35.734.1
Auto-1.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
red by 2.9
30.33.1
39.736.5
Auto1.2
Teleop29.2
End0.0
Third
5808
#12
8.12.7
-2.2-4.9
Auto0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0
red by 16.0
9250
#18
-7.95.2
1.5-3.7
Auto0.0
Teleop-7.9
End0.0