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Red226
167893.8
70140.2
7519.0
Blue160
166229.2
325030.3
207312.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154540100200250226160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.80.0
93.893.8
Auto14.1
Teleop79.7
End0.0
red by 63.5
30.30.0
30.330.3
Auto1.2
Teleop29.2
End0.0
Second
701
#6
40.20.0
40.240.2
Auto1.1
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 11.0
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto1.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Third
751
#15
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 3.2
2073
#14
12.10.0
12.112.1
Auto1.8
Teleop10.4
End0.0