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Red14
248915.5
264327.2
66825.3
Blue48
67030.5
84640.2
25611.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71820501001502002501448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#19
27.22.8
33.730.9
Auto1.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 13.0
846
#5
40.21.8
38.837.0
Auto1.3
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Second
668
#34
25.32.8
20.317.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop26.0
End0.0
blue by 5.2
670
#18
30.51.8
35.033.3
Auto0.3
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Third
2489
#36
15.52.8
21.318.6
Auto0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 4.1
256
#21
11.41.8
9.57.8
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0