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Red48
51049.8
325641.6
425516.2
Blue30
64931.4
10018.9
49909.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585530405070804830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.6
26.826.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop41.9
End0.0
red by 10.2
649
#3
31.41.4
25.924.5
Auto4.3
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
4255
#14
16.20.6
19.619.0
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 2.7
100
#17
18.91.4
19.918.5
Auto0.8
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
5104
#28
9.80.6
13.112.6
Auto0.6
Teleop9.2
End0.0
red by 0.1
4990
#35
9.61.4
12.010.6
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0