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Red62
425516.2
67030.5
247312.1
Blue54
107219.1
415913.9
49046.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582802040801001206254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#18
30.50.3
28.228.6
Auto0.3
Teleop30.3
End0.0
red by 11.4
1072
#13
19.11.0
17.718.7
Auto0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
4255
#14
16.20.3
18.518.8
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 2.3
4159
#12
13.91.0
13.614.6
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
2473
#22
12.10.3
8.79.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 5.7
4904
#31
6.41.0
2.93.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.7
End0.0