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Red50
186817.1
10018.9
476510.0
Blue52
502711.0
304518.1
264327.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375401001502005052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#17
18.90.4
15.215.6
Auto0.8
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 8.3
2643
#19
27.20.1
29.028.9
Auto1.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
1868
#15
17.10.4
17.017.4
Auto0.1
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 1.0
3045
#27
18.10.1
15.515.4
Auto0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
4765
#11
10.00.4
9.09.4
Auto1.5
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 1.1
5027
#30
11.00.1
9.08.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop11.6
End0.0