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Red90
385937.5
350125.4
214418.5
Blue84
64931.4
418611.4
67030.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685902040801001209084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.51.1
26.027.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 6.1
649
#3
31.41.1
25.226.3
Auto4.3
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
3501
#26
25.41.1
25.626.7
Auto1.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 5.1
670
#18
30.51.1
28.629.6
Auto0.3
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Third
18.51.1
17.118.2
Auto0.8
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 7.0
4186
#33
11.41.1
9.110.2
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0