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Red8
248915.5
502711.0
417111.3
Blue28
66825.3
350125.4
49046.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3665050100150200828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2489
#36
15.51.7
25.423.7
Auto0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 9.9
3501
#26
25.41.7
31.329.6
Auto1.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
4171
#16
11.32.1
6.34.2
Auto0.8
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 14.0
668
#34
25.31.7
23.221.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
5027
#30
11.01.7
9.98.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 4.7
4904
#31
6.41.7
7.86.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.7
End0.0