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Red82
325641.6
67030.5
196718.5
Blue14
51049.8
145824.8
543014.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795101001508214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.2
26.226.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop41.9
End0.0
red by 16.8
1458
#25
24.82.2
29.126.9
Auto0.9
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
670
#18
30.50.2
34.835.0
Auto0.3
Teleop30.3
End0.0
red by 16.2
5430
#20
14.42.2
15.713.5
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
18.50.2
16.616.8
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
red by 8.7
5104
#28
9.82.2
12.610.4
Auto0.6
Teleop9.2
End0.0