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Red28
214418.5
415913.9
264327.2
Blue36
49909.6
350125.4
19914.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7745020601001201401602836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#19
27.22.3
36.033.7
Auto1.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 1.8
3501
#26
25.40.8
29.628.8
Auto1.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
18.52.3
21.619.3
Auto0.8
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 4.3
199
#23
14.21.3
11.310.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
4159
#12
13.92.3
16.814.5
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 4.3
4990
#35
9.60.8
10.69.8
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0