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Semifinal pool 2-32015 CalGames
Red144
325641.6
385937.5
66825.3
Blue98
67030.5
135129.2
145824.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8980406010012014016014498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#6
41.61.0
37.0→38.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop41.9
End0.0
red by 11.1
670
#18
30.50.2
30.4→30.6
Auto0.3
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Second
3859
#2
37.51.0
32.9→33.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 8.3
1351
#4
29.20.2
29.0→29.3
Auto2.4
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
668
#34
25.31.0
20.7→21.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 0.5
1458
#25
24.80.2
24.6→24.9
Auto0.9
Teleop23.9
End0.0