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Red33
567821.3
450126.6
68723.2
Blue21
330972.3
58511.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64920501502002503321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4501
Unranked
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 45.8
3309
Unranked
72.30.0
72.372.3
Auto11.4
Teleop61.0
End0.0
Second
687
Unranked
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 12.2
585
Unranked
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End0.0
Third
5678
Unranked
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 13.3
4470B
Unranked
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto0.7
Teleop7.3
End0.0