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Red86
98016.7
68723.2
Blue34
447015.9
347316.3
59921.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455301001502002508634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
Unranked
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 1.5
599
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Second
980
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 0.4
3473
Unranked
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
4470B
Unranked
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto0.7
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 7.9
4470
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto1.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0