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Red26
450126.6
585B5.5
58511.0
Blue52
447015.9
68723.2
512442.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33870501001502002652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4501
Unranked
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 16.1
5124
Unranked
42.60.0
42.642.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
Second
585
Unranked
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 12.2
687
Unranked
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
585B
Unranked
5.50.0
5.55.5
Auto1.0
Teleop4.5
End0.0
blue by 10.4
4470
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto1.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0