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Red19
59921.8
450126.6
447015.9
Blue44
347316.3
119733.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635402040801001201944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4501
Unranked
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 6.6
1197
Unranked
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Second
599
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 5.4
3473
Unranked
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
4470
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto1.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 7.9
4470B
Unranked
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto0.7
Teleop7.3
End0.0