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Red118
330972.3
347691.8
98122.9
Blue88
3476B45.9
33081.2
59737.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1851545010020025030011888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
Unranked
91.80.0
91.891.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop92.8
End0.0
red by 10.6
330
Unranked
81.20.0
81.281.2
Auto2.3
Teleop78.9
End0.0
Second
3309
Unranked
72.30.0
72.372.3
Auto11.4
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 26.4
3476B
Unranked
45.90.0
45.945.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop46.4
End0.0
Third
981
Unranked
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 14.4
597
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto0.1
Teleop37.2
End0.0