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Red60
69111.5
330972.3
59737.3
Blue22
98122.9
3318.5
3476B45.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126650501001502006022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
Unranked
72.30.0
72.372.3
Auto11.4
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 26.4
3476B
Unranked
45.90.0
45.945.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop46.4
End0.0
Second
597
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto0.1
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 14.4
981
Unranked
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
691
Unranked
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 3.0
331
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0