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Red0
59921.8
113819.1
Blue62
419.6
375916.1
58511.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4845020406080062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 2.2
4
Unranked
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Second
1138
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 3.1
3759
Unranked
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
4470B
Unranked
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto0.7
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 3.1
585
Unranked
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End0.0