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Red16
113819.1
59737.3
98122.9
Blue4
249322.7
145211.7
347316.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83430100150164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto0.1
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 14.6
2493
Unranked
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
981
Unranked
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 6.6
3473
Unranked
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
1138
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 7.5
1452
Unranked
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto0.6
Teleop11.0
End0.0