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Red46
3476B45.9
461918.6
249322.7
Blue9
427619.3
59921.8
448617.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90500100150469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476B
Unranked
45.90.0
45.945.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop46.4
End0.0
red by 24.1
599
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Second
2493
Unranked
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 3.4
4276
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto0.5
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
4619
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
red by 1.3
4486
Unranked
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto-1.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0