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Red4
3476B45.9
59921.8
58511.0
Blue54
119733.2
145211.7
3318.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81460100150454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476B
Unranked
45.90.0
45.945.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop46.4
End0.0
red by 12.7
1197
Unranked
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Second
599
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 10.1
1452
Unranked
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto0.6
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Third
585
Unranked
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End0.0
red by 2.5
331
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0