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Red54
427619.3
69111.5
68723.2
Blue4
59737.3
145211.7
59921.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49720100150544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
Unranked
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 14.0
597
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto0.1
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
4276
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto0.5
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 2.4
599
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Third
691
Unranked
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 0.2
1452
Unranked
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto0.6
Teleop11.0
End0.0