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Red114
325555.1
3318.5
113819.1
Blue70
448617.3
419.6
68723.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8553010015020011470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
Unranked
55.10.0
55.155.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 31.9
687
Unranked
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
1138
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4
Unranked
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
331
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 8.8
4486
Unranked
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto-1.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0