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Red83
388223.1
263734.1
113811.3
Blue32
330925.7
332817.6
427621.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506601001502008332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.5
30.230.7
Auto0.4
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 8.4
3309
#12
25.70.8
26.225.4
Auto0.0
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
3882
#19
23.10.6
18.018.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 1.7
4276
#11
21.40.8
21.921.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
1138
#64
11.30.6
6.26.8
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 6.3
17.60.6
18.017.5
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0