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Red80
97346.5
375212.1
20720.9
Blue43
55216.6
59723.0
566916.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51310204060801001201408043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#2
46.52.1
28.330.4
Auto0.5
Teleop45.9
End0.0
red by 23.5
597
#13
23.00.4
18.919.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
207
#23
20.93.5
15.118.7
Auto0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 4.5
5669
#30
16.40.6
10.010.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
3752
#31
12.13.5
6.09.6
Auto0.8
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 5.5
5521
#56
6.60.6
6.37.0
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0