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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3227020406080100189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
589
#25
18.80.7
11.710.9
Auto0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 8.4
5089
#49
10.51.1
13.011.8
Auto0.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Second
4079
#36
11.70.7
11.711.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 2.6
5513
#44
9.01.1
8.06.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
Third
5647
#38
11.00.7
9.38.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.1
End0.0
red by 4.5
5510
#55
6.61.1
7.56.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0