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Red21
257612.6
29427.7
243913.5
Blue38
6069.2
69114.9
45743.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62702040801001201402138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#8
27.71.7
22.921.2
Auto0.0
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 12.7
691
#27
14.91.8
8.410.3
Auto0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Second
2439
#34
13.52.9
20.717.8
Auto0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 4.3
606
#43
9.21.8
8.410.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Third
2576
#37
12.62.9
12.19.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 8.8
4574
#40
3.81.1
-1.00.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.0