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Red24
450110.5
461917.2
99511.1
Blue24
20720.9
151522.4
166116.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265101001502424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4619
#32
17.20.6
14.614.1
Auto0.7
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 5.2
1515
#39
22.41.6
14.212.6
Auto0.4
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
995
#51
11.10.6
4.74.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 9.8
207
#23
20.91.6
18.717.1
Auto0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
4501
#63
10.50.6
11.410.8
Auto0.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 6.4
1661
#16
16.91.6
15.814.2
Auto0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0