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Red112
33053.6
98016.6
263734.1
Blue53
40195.4
171727.6
283920.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663905010015011253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#1
53.64.5
32.436.8
Auto3.8
Teleop49.7
End0.0
red by 25.9
1717
#29
27.60.7
22.022.7
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
34.12.7
20.322.9
Auto0.4
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 13.7
2839
#24
20.40.4
18.018.4
Auto0.5
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Third
980
#20
16.64.5
11.616.1
Auto0.6
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 11.2
4019
#53
5.40.7
4.55.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.6
End0.0