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Red102
119733.2
59723.0
563411.9
Blue80
6069.2
99511.1
512432.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4836020608010012014010280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.22.7
21.223.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.3
End0.0
red by 0.7
32.53.4
24.427.9
Auto0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
597
#13
23.02.7
19.622.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 12.0
995
#51
11.13.4
4.27.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
5634
#28
11.94.5
6.711.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 2.7
606
#43
9.23.4
10.213.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0