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Red96
69114.9
114810.6
33053.6
Blue20
20720.9
8676.4
375916.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572801001509620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#1
53.63.5
36.840.3
Auto3.8
Teleop49.7
End0.0
red by 32.7
207
#23
20.91.1
17.116.0
Auto0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Second
691
#27
14.93.5
10.313.8
Auto0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 1.2
3759
#17
16.11.1
8.97.8
Auto0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
1148
#46
10.62.1
7.39.4
Auto0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
red by 4.3
867
#62
6.41.1
7.26.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.4
End0.0