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Red45
7023.4
58918.8
9687.5
Blue105
427621.4
563411.9
97346.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216405010015045105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
589
#25
18.81.4
11.412.7
Auto0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 27.6
973
#2
46.52.3
34.236.5
Auto0.5
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
968
#61
7.51.4
7.18.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 13.9
4276
#11
21.43.8
13.917.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
702
#65
3.41.4
10.211.6
Auto0.1
Teleop3.3
End0.0
blue by 8.5
5634
#28
11.93.8
11.215.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0