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Red17
407911.7
491312.6
49642.3
Blue120
243913.5
33053.6
441518.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207605010015020017120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4913
#47
12.60.6
12.311.7
Auto0.5
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 41.0
330
#1
53.64.1
40.344.4
Auto3.8
Teleop49.7
End0.0
Second
4079
#36
11.71.0
9.78.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 6.7
4415
#22
18.44.1
12.817.0
Auto0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
4964
#57
2.31.0
7.46.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.4
End0.0
blue by 11.2
2439
#34
13.54.1
17.221.4
Auto0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0