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Red62
244330.3
432212.9
388223.1
Blue88
528515.0
97346.5
54329.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352204060801006288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#21
30.30.7
19.820.5
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 16.2
973
#2
46.51.7
36.538.1
Auto0.5
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
3882
#19
23.10.7
21.922.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 8.1
5285
#14
15.02.8
12.014.8
Auto0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
4322
#45
12.90.7
12.212.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 3.8
5432
#48
9.12.8
6.49.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0