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Red18
8676.4
9687.5
512432.5
Blue28
55216.6
551211.1
283920.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433402060801001201828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.52.1
28.426.3
Auto0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
red by 12.0
2839
#24
20.40.4
21.721.2
Auto0.5
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
968
#61
7.52.1
8.46.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 3.6
5512
#41
11.10.7
5.44.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.2
End0.0
Third
867
#62
6.42.1
6.03.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5521
#56
6.60.7
9.28.5
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0