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Red6
388223.1
7023.4
243913.5
Blue74
8676.4
138820.3
263734.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51420206080100120674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#19
23.13.8
22.618.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.3
End0.0
blue by 11.0
34.11.4
27.128.5
Auto0.4
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
2439
#34
13.53.8
19.615.8
Auto0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 6.9
1388
#26
20.32.4
14.216.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
702
#65
3.43.8
8.95.2
Auto0.1
Teleop3.3
End0.0
blue by 2.9
867
#62
6.42.4
3.96.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.4
End0.0