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Red34
283920.4
257612.6
58918.8
Blue10
375212.1
49642.3
114810.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462404060801001203410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2839
#24
20.40.5
21.220.7
Auto0.5
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 8.3
3752
#31
12.11.5
14.012.4
Auto0.8
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Second
589
#25
18.80.8
14.113.3
Auto0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 8.2
1148
#46
10.60.9
9.88.9
Auto0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
Third
2576
#37
12.60.8
8.67.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 10.3
4964
#57
2.31.5
4.63.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.4
End0.0