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Red45
566916.4
166116.9
332817.6
Blue15
388223.1
491312.6
9687.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2438060801001201401604515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.9
7.68.5
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 5.5
3882
#19
23.11.3
13.211.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
1661
#16
16.91.5
11.212.6
Auto0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 4.3
4913
#47
12.60.8
12.511.7
Auto0.5
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Third
5669
#30
16.46.4
16.410.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 8.9
968
#61
7.51.3
11.510.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0