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Red48
491312.6
98016.6
145211.7
Blue24
69623.9
564711.0
8676.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364401001504824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
#20
16.60.6
15.916.6
Auto0.6
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 7.4
696
#10
23.91.5
24.322.8
Auto0.3
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Second
4913
#47
12.60.4
12.112.6
Auto0.5
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 1.5
5647
#38
11.01.5
12.511.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
1452
#42
11.70.6
11.011.7
Auto0.6
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 5.3
867
#62
6.41.5
7.96.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.4
End0.0