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Red81
244330.3
427621.4
566916.4
Blue30
508910.5
6069.2
8487.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6019040801001208130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#21
30.32.2
22.024.3
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 19.8
5089
#49
10.50.3
10.210.5
Auto0.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Second
4276
#11
21.42.2
19.721.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.6
End0.0
red by 12.2
606
#43
9.20.3
8.99.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Third
5669
#30
16.42.2
14.316.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 9.1
848
#50
7.30.3
7.07.3
Auto0.8
Teleop6.5
End0.0