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Red9
99511.1
40195.4
240411.7
Blue32
69114.9
388223.1
113811.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29420206080100120140160932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2404
#33
11.71.2
12.911.7
Auto0.3
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 11.4
3882
#19
23.10.7
18.618.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
995
#51
11.11.2
12.311.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 3.9
691
#27
14.90.7
15.614.9
Auto0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
4019
#53
5.41.2
6.65.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.6
End0.0
blue by 5.9
1138
#64
11.30.7
6.96.2
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0