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Red144
97346.5
33053.6
151522.4
Blue128
171727.6
420139.0
59912.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11766050100150200250144128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#1
53.60.7
50.250.9
Auto3.8
Teleop49.7
End0.0
red by 14.6
39.01.2
37.839.0
Auto0.6
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
973
#2
46.50.5
43.944.4
Auto0.5
Teleop45.9
End0.0
red by 18.8
1717
#29
27.61.2
26.527.6
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
1515
#39
22.40.7
19.019.7
Auto0.4
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 9.5
599
#59
12.91.2
11.712.9
Auto1.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0