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Red152
25463.4
167866.3
132319.7
Blue128
210230.8
70136.5
166228.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15679050100200250300152128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.30.1
66.266.3
Auto9.9
Teleop56.4
End0.0
red by 29.8
701
#3
36.50.7
35.836.5
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Second
254
#2
63.40.1
63.463.4
Auto8.8
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 32.6
30.80.7
30.130.8
Auto0.3
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Third
1323
#30
19.70.1
19.719.7
Auto0.6
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 8.6
1662
#17
28.30.7
27.628.3
Auto0.1
Teleop28.2
End0.0