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Red50
55299.6
210230.8
276113.7
Blue49
8407.5
263718.7
349522.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29380501001505049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.5
18.620.1
Auto0.3
Teleop30.6
End0.0
red by 8.0
3495
#10
22.80.9
13.314.3
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
2761
#25
13.71.5
8.19.6
Auto0.9
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 4.9
2637
#14
18.70.9
12.213.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
5529
#40
9.61.5
5.26.7
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 2.1
840
#49
7.50.9
12.513.4
Auto0.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0