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Red116
58515.5
167866.3
283918.5
Blue9
464311.4
55299.6
425511.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61260501001502001169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.34.8
38.243.0
Auto9.9
Teleop56.4
End0.0
red by 54.9
4643
#32
11.42.0
12.510.6
Auto1.7
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Second
2839
#12
18.54.8
8.513.3
Auto0.9
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 7.2
4255
#27
11.42.0
13.511.5
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
Third
585
#19
15.54.8
11.516.3
Auto1.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 5.9
5529
#40
9.62.0
6.74.7
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0