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Red18
34827.4
33039.5
70136.5
Blue0
196712.0
8407.5
7518.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42410206080100180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#3
36.51.6
23.521.9
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
red by 24.5
1967
#35
12.03.1
18.415.3
Auto0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
Second
3303
#42
9.51.6
12.110.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0
red by 0.8
751
#34
8.73.1
14.111.0
Auto0.4
Teleop8.4
End0.0
Third
3482
#48
7.41.6
7.35.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 0.1
840
#49
7.53.1
11.28.1
Auto0.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0