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Red0
418315.4
242911.4
49738.5
Blue44
388116.2
132319.7
454329.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3759050100150044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#36
15.42.5
17.515.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 14.2
29.61.1
20.419.3
Auto1.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Second
2429
#41DQ
11.42.5
14.612.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 8.4
1323
#30
19.71.1
22.121.0
Auto0.6
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
4973
#44
8.52.5
9.47.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 7.7
3881
#22
16.21.1
15.013.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0