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Red123
44708.7
58117.8
167866.3
Blue14
2563.6
23677.0
67025.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions683605010015020012314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.34.8
46.951.7
Auto9.9
Teleop56.4
End0.0
red by 40.9
670
#8
25.42.4
23.921.5
Auto0.0
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
581
#20
17.84.8
12.417.2
Auto0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 10.8
2367
#45
7.02.4
5.12.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop7.7
End0.0
Third
4470
#39
8.74.8
6.010.8
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End0.0
red by 5.1
256
#43
3.62.4
13.611.2
Auto1.5
Teleop2.1
End0.0