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Red30
397030.3
425511.4
2563.6
Blue31
392512.2
254313.5
34827.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5716040801001201401603031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.31.4
28.627.3
Auto1.0
Teleop29.2
End0.0
red by 16.8
2543
#33
13.50.6
4.95.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Second
4255
#27
11.41.4
12.711.3
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 0.9
3925
#37
12.20.6
13.614.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
256
#43
3.61.4
11.29.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.1
End0.0
blue by 3.8
3482
#48
7.40.6
4.95.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.4
End0.0